“I just want to say that the end of the pandemic is in sight,” Donald Trump said Thursday night.  A day later he was airlifted to Walter Reed Hospital, down with (reportedly) mild symptoms of COVID-19—so “mild” that he’s now going to stay “several” days instead of “a few” as initially reported.  

All that baloney downplaying the virus while trying to turn the public’s attention to antifa violence in the cities, mocking Joe Biden’s intelligence and mask wearing, and proclaiming his Nobel Prize-worthy diplomacy in the Middle East—anything that would enable him to escape responsibility for more than 200,000 American deaths—has come to naught.  As Dr. Anthony Fauci said months ago, the virus determines the timetable, and the timetable shows that Trump will be sidelined just weeks away from the election.

Caricature of Donald Trump created by DonkeyHotey

Of course being sidelined doesn’t mean Trump will cease making trouble.  His Supreme Court nomination will go forward, his unmasked crowds will remain adoring, his vice president and attorney general will display their usual unfailing loyalty, his chief of staff will pooh-pooh the infection, and the tweets will keep coming as evidence that Trump is still vigorous, alert, and in charge.  Be prepared for Trump to say, “see, it’s just like the flu.”

But (as Biden likes to say) here’s the thing: Trump’s illness is a game changer, and not just because he’ll miss considerable time on the campaign trail (and the golf course).  The illness demonstrates why people, even (and especially!) presidents, ignore science at their peril.  It shows that Biden’s carefulness—wearing a mask, advising social distancing, following the advice of doctors—is sensible and mature.  It also points up the Trump crowd’s recklessness: attending rallies and ceremonies unmasked, allowing Hope Hicks on Air Force One knowing that she was infected, holding a press conference conducted by a press secretary who had also been on that flight, and—perhaps worst of all, according to Mike Wallace—“flouting the ‘honor system’ for the two campaigns to arrive at the debate having already tested negative for the coronavirus.”  

COVID-19 has called out Trump and a lengthening list of his supporters. This is not a national security crisis, as some commentators put it; it’s a White House crisis, the result of the arrogance and irresponsibility of the president and his administration.  

Such behavior should solidify Biden’s lead in the polls.  Even more so if/when Trump refuses to admit that he’s made a terrible mistake in not listening to his betters. 

But he has made a terrible mistake, one that would (or should) cost him the presidency.  If he’s smart, he’ll drop the remaining debates, cancel rallies, and—do we dare hope?—resign and move back to one of his hotels.  I bet Melania would vote for that.  For Trump to do that, however, would be a rare departure from character: retreating.

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Image Credit: the feature caricature of Donald Trump was created by DonkeyHotey (Flickr/Creative Commons).

Mel Gurtov

Mel Gurtov

I am Professor Emeritus of Political Science at Portland State University (Oregon) and Senior Editor of Asian Perspective, an international affairs quarterly, which from 1994 to 2017 I served as Editor-in-Chief. I have published over 25 books on the international politics of East Asia, US foreign policy, and human-security issues. My most recent books are Will This Be China’s Century? A Skeptic’s View (Lynne Rienner Publishers, 2013) and Engaging Adversaries:Peacemaking and Diplomacy in the Human Interest (Rowman & Littlefield, 2018). The new book focuses on strategies of engagement, with case studies of US relations with Iran, Cuba, North Korea, Russia, and China, as well as Israel-Palestine and China-Japan.

I am currently writing a book on foreign policy under Donald Trump, tentatively titled “America in Retreat.”

I live in Deadwood, a very small community in western Oregon, where I help my wife in the beautiful Heirloom apple orchard and vegetable garden she has created.

Mel Gurtov, syndicated by PeaceVoice.