Though many have virtually already elected Hillary Rodham Clinton as the next president, somehow…..somehow we don’t think she will even get the nomination.
That would be a major shift in what the experts think will happen. It’s to the point that we even heard a stockbroker making stock-buying decisions based on his thinking that Ms. Clinton will in 2017 become the 45th president of the United States. Others who watch politics closely have told us that they don’t feel that Ms. Clinton will be the nominee.
All this is not to forecast that a Republican will be elected president. Polls have consistently reported that the country is leaning much more Democratic than Republican. For a Republican to be elected, there will have to be a weak Democratic candidate in 2016, and the vastly-split Republican camp will have to come amazingly together.
The decisions today by former Rhode Island Governor and U.S. Senator Lincoln Chafee and last week by former Maryland Governor Martin O’Malley to jump into the race shows that at least they feel that, though distant, they have a chance at becoming the nominee. Yet there are few other Democrats willing to go up against the vast money machine that Ms. Clinton has already accumulated, and the anticipated contributions she can foresee.
Several other people have decided to run for the Democratic nomination. Former Virginia Senator Jim Webb and New York Governor Andrew Cuomo are often mentioned, as is Vice President Joe Biden. And Bernie Sanders, an independent in U.S. Senate who caucuses with the Democrats, is already running. Others, many of whom we know little, are listed as possibilities, including Kristen Gillibrand, Amy Klobuchar, Dennis Kucinich, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner and even Elizabeth Warren.
Who could upend the Clinton candidacy? We wouldn’t guess.
But still, doubts arise among some of us.
Of course, when it comes to the Republican nomination, the field is so vast that there is concern of fitting all together on the stage for a debate. Certainly the large field would make a true debate virtually impossible. Yet television plows away anticipating some way of making such news events malleable.
The GOP list is massive: we list them alphabetically: Jeb Bush, Benjamin Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina. Lindsay Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump (“Ha!”) and Scott Walker.
Whew! Sixteen…..and counting. Even others might get the itch.
Now consider: of all these people, Democrats and Republicans, do you consider any of them presidential? Do you want to trust any of them with leading our country for four years, or even eight?
Makes you wish for some of the leadership of the older days, doesn’t it?
Yet one of these people, or maybe even some sleeper candidate not even mentioned yet, will eventually be leading our country. It may take some calamitous event to vault someone into the public eye that would propel him or her self into a credible candidate. It probably won’t happen. Pat Paulsen may even turn up again.
Yet it may take a major turn-of-events to elect our next president, no matter what party.
Meanwhile, the people of Iowa and New Hampshire and even South Carolina are getting drop-ins by the hopeful candidates these days. Some how, some way, in our bumbling and ungainly picking of leaders, we’ll move on to a new president. But though many feel it’ll be Hillary, somehow we don’t.